Global Warming

MrBishop

Well-Known Member
PARIS – For the first time, a panel of climate experts has confirmed that global warming is occurring and that it is "very likely"—90 percent certain—man-made. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a working group of some 3,000 delegates from 113 countries, today issued its final report here on the state of climate change -- and the findings were grim. "There can be no question that the increases in these greenhouse gases are dominated by human activity," says Susan Solomon, co-chair of the working group and an atmospheric scientist with the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). "Warming of the climate system is now unequivocal. That is evident in observations of air and ocean temperature as well as rising global mean sea level."
Scientific American
 

chcr

Too cute for words
"Warming of the climate system is now unequivocal. That is evident in observations of air and ocean temperature as well as rising global mean sea level."
Has been for a while now. Old news.

"very likely"—90 percent certain—man-made.
Clearly an implication that the climate would not be changing if man didn't exist? Bet you a dollar it would. Clearly politically motivated.

The end is neer.
 

catocom

Well-Known Member
eh, all we have to do is put all the rockets on one side of the earth, and push the orbit out a little farther.:nerd: :retard3:
 

catocom

Well-Known Member
hey, wait a minute.....
Don't we need global warming?

You know, to get ready for the nuclear winters ahead.
 

SouthernN'Proud

Southern Discomfort
What makes the ice melt when the glaciation is over?

Major interglacial periods have occurred when the three factors line up to give the northern hemisphere the greatest amount of summer insolation. The last major convergence of factors giving us maximum summer warmth occurred 11,000 years ago, at the transition between the last glaciation and the current interglacial, the Holocene. During the late Pleistocene, the Rocky Mountain regions of Canada and the regions farther west were almost engulfed in the Cordilleran Ice Sheet, while most of Canada east of the Rockies and the north-central and northeastern United States were covered by the Laurentide Ice Sheet. The divide between the two ice sheets lay east of the Rockies, with the two ice bodies meeting near the U.S.-Canadian border in eastern Montana. The Laurentide ice sheet is thought to have been as much as two miles thick at the center.

All natural causes then. No SUVs, no pollution, no man made or man controlled factors in play at all.

THIS IS NO DIFFERENT!!!!

Well, one difference. Back then, the village idiot was ostracized for the good of the group as a whole. This time, the village idiot spent 80% of the 1990s as vice president. Otherwise, this is no different. This too shall pass. The problem is we have a multitude of morons crying wolf, and people keep listening to them.
 

SouthernN'Proud

Southern Discomfort
SCIENTIST GROUP'S FUNDING COMES WITH LIBERAL STRINGS ATTACHED

No matter what you have recently read in magazines, newspapers, on the internet, heard on the radio and seen on TV. There is absolutely no credible evidence that can be independently verified that harmful man induced climate change (global warming) is occurring. The same goes for harmful man induced ozone depletion.

No more calls please, we have a winner.
 

Gonz

molṑn labé
Staff member
Please, oh please, hurry the warming part up...

Observed at: Fort Wayne, Indiana
Elevation: 814 ft / 248 m

1 °F / -17 °C
Clear

5-Day Forecast for ZIP Code 46801

Saturday 15° F | -3° F

Sunday
5° F | -3° F

Monday
6° F | -3° F

Tuesday
9° F | -3° F

Wednesday
13° F | 1° F
 

Gonz

molṑn labé
Staff member
HURRY DAMNIT


... Wind Chill Advisory now in effect until 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
Tuesday...

The National Weather Service in northern Indiana has cancelled
the Winter Weather Advisory. The Wind Chill Advisory is now in
effect until 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ Tuesday.

The threat for additional accumulations and widespread blowing and
drifting snow will continue to slowly diminish into this evening.
While motorists may experience brief some areas of visibilities
below a half mile in open areas... the overall threat has
diminished... therefore the Winter Weather Advisory has been
cancelled. Flurries will continue into this evening... but the
threat for additional accumulations of snow has ended. West winds
will slowly diminish through the evening allowing for a
continuation of blowing and drifting snow. However... any reduction
in visibilities should be brief.

The strong winds will combine with bitter cold temperatures to
produce potentially dangerous wind chills. During the daylight
hours wind chills will range from 15 to 25 below zero and 20 to
nearly 30 below zero Sunday and Monday night. Exposed flesh will
freeze in less than 30 minutes.

A Wind Chill Advisory means that very cold air and strong winds
will combine to generate low wind chills. This will result in
frost bite and lead to hypothermia if precautions are not taken
while outdoors. Dress in layers and cover all exposed skin
surfaces if you venture outside through Tuesday.
 

catocom

Well-Known Member
the forecast here doesn't look too frigged in temp, (around 28-40) but
the winds show to be constant, and no less than 10mph, for the next several days.

It already hasn't been (calm) here for the last 2 days.
The lake looks like 'ocean waves form an areal view'.:crap:
 

Altron

Well-Known Member
I think the Milankovitch Hypothesis does a great job explaining it.

I'm just trying to recall some figures offhand, because I don't have the exact ones.

The tilt of the Earth's axis varies from about 21 degrees to about 24 degrees. This affects the seasons big time. With a small tilt, there's not much of a difference in day and night between summer and winter, so thus the temperature is pretty constant year round. With a larger tilt, that difference increases significantly. In our Northern winter, we are tilted about 23.5 degrees away from the sun, which puts us a bit farther away from it and makes the sunlight more diffused, because it's hitting us at an angle. In our Northern summer, we are tilted about 23.5 degrees towards the sun, which puts us closer (thus more light) and makes that light more direct, making things warmer.
Now, to go from 21 to 23 degrees takes about 20,000 years.

Then there's the eccentricity of the Earth's orbit (I think). At the moment, Earth is about 1% closer to the sun during Northern winter, and 1% farther away during Northern summer. This also varies in magnitude and is I believe a 100,000 year cycle.

I think the third one is precession of Earth's axis. Why it happens I don't know, but when something has a lot of angular momentum (i.e. 8,000 mile diameter sphere spinning at 1 rev/day) and a perpendicular torque is applied, the object precesses, which means it begins to spin in a perpendicular direction at the same time. That's another cycle that takes a long time.

Then once you add up all three of them, you get a model for predicting the global temperature. I saw one graph where they took the Milankovitch model and the actual data for the past large amount of time and that shit was dead on.
 

Gonz

molṑn labé
Staff member
they took the Milankovitch model and the actual data for the past large amount of time and that shit was dead on.

How does anyone know? Were there mercury or digital thermometers in 1299? 875? 4350BC?
 

SouthernN'Proud

Southern Discomfort
They know because they are [trumpet fanfare]SCIENTISTS[/fanfare]. The same folk who tell us all about the dinosaurs what used to run about 72 quidtrillion years ago. Back when we evolved from apes and beat stuff with clubs and dragged our wimmins about by the hair and said "og." The ones who love to tell how we exist because lightning struck a puddle of triptosillysaurus piss at the precise moment of barometric and electromagnetic perfection and caused a critter with a pseudopod to emerge what later became a monkey and shazam, here we are. They know because they have white lab coats and slide rules and clipboards. They got it all worked out on a series of 24 blackboards at Harvard in the math department, and X=pi. Don't question them, they gets a might testy when they have to speak to the common citizenry.


:rolleyes:
 
Top